Today / KA Akureyri vs Fram

KA Akureyri vs Fram Prediction

Monday, June 15, 2026

KA Akureyri

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fram

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.2%0-26.1%0-34.7%0-4+4.6%1 1-03.3%1-17.7%1-28.9%1-36.9%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.5%2-15.7%2-26.6%2-35.1%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.2%3-12.8%3-23.2%3-32.5%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 26.9% — —

Draw 21.0% — —

Away win 52.1% — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — —

Over 3.5 42.9% — —

BTTS 63.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

KA Akureyri (H) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fram (A) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.7%

A 52% / xG 1.5-2.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 1–3 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KA Akureyri1.5

Fram2.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KA AKUREYRI · PPG 0.60

FRAM · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

KA Akureyri face Fram on Monday, June 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KA Akureyri a 27% chance, the draw 21% and Fram 52%, so Fram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for KA Akureyri and 2.3 for Fram (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KA Akureyri are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.75 for Fram.

KA Akureyri vs Fram Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions