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Wieczysta K. vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 17:30

Wieczysta K.

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Odra Opole

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-15.1%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.4%1-110.1%1-24.9%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-110.0%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.8%3-16.5%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-15.1%4+-22.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.8% 61.7% 1.62 -1.5%

Draw 21.3% 27.8% 3.60 -23.3%

Away win 17.9% 21.7% 4.60 -17.7%

Over 2.5 56.4% — — —

Over 3.5 34.0% — — —

BTTS 53.4% 57.8% 1.73 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.4%

H 61% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 10.4%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 1–1 10.1%

#4 2–1 10.0%

#5 3–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wieczysta K.2.0

Odra Opole1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 34.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WIECZYSTA K. · PPG 1.50

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Wieczysta K. (H) 60.8%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -1.5%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -23.3%

Odra Opole (A) 17.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wieczysta K. face Odra Opole in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wieczysta K. a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Odra Opole 18%, so Wieczysta K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wieczysta K. and 1.0 for Odra Opole (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wieczysta K. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Odra Opole. This match finished 0-0.

Wieczysta K. vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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