Puszcza Niepolo vs Polonia Bytom Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 29 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach· Niepołomice Saturday, April 18, 2026 17:30

Puszcza Niepolo PPG 1.29

2-1 HIT CS4

Polonia Bytom PPG 1.17

Home· -5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Puszcza Niepolo face Polonia Bytom in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puszcza Niepolo a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Polonia Bytom 32%, so Puszcza Niepolo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Puszcza Niepolo and 1.2 for Polonia Bytom (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puszcza Niepolo are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.17 for Polonia Bytom. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.1%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -5.3%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -18.2%

Away 31.5%

Odds: 2.88 EV: -9.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.7% Odds: 1.67 -13.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Puszcza Niepolo

1.39

Polonia Bytom

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.17)