I. Petrolero vs Real Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Bolivia - Primera División Apertura - 9 Saturday, June 13, 2026 19:00

I. Petrolero PPG 1.75

VS PENDING

Real Potosí PPG 0.67

Draw· +26.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Petrolero face Real Potosí in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Petrolero a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Real Potosí 24%, so I. Petrolero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for I. Petrolero and 0.8 for Real Potosí (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Petrolero are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.67 for Real Potosí. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +26.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -30.3%

Draw 31.5%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +26.0%

Away 23.5%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +7.7%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.8% Odds: 1.55 -41.4%

Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 2.38 -33.0%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.57 -24.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 1-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

I. Petrolero

1.09

Real Potosí

0.78

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=45.0%