Today / Bolivia - Primera División / Nacional Potosí vs Real Tomayapo

Nacional Potosí vs Real Tomayapo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:30

Nacional Potosí

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Real Tomayapo

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.81 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-12.9%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.4%1-17.1%1-22.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.9%2-18.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.3%3-17.0%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-17.6%4+-22.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% — — —

Draw 18.8% — — —

Away win 15.8% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 49.9% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.9%

H 65% / xG 2.4-0.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.9%

#2 3–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 1–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nacional Potosí2.4

Real Tomayapo0.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NACIONAL POTOSÍ · PPG 1.75

REAL TOMAYAPO · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.81 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Nacional Potosí (H) 65.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Tomayapo (A) 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacional Potosí face Real Tomayapo in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacional Potosí a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Real Tomayapo 16%, so Nacional Potosí are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Nacional Potosí and 0.6 for Real Tomayapo (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacional Potosí are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.00 for Real Tomayapo.

Nacional Potosí vs Real Tomayapo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bolivia - Primera División Predictions