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Blooming vs The Strongest Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

Blooming

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

The Strongest

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-110.7%0-24.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.9%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-17.7%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.1%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 24.2% — — —

Over 2.5 39.3% — — —

Over 3.5 19.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 36.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blooming1.2

The Strongest0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BLOOMING · PPG 2.20

THE STRONGEST · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.43, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Blooming (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

The Strongest (A) 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Blooming face The Strongest in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blooming a 45% chance, the draw 31% and The Strongest 24%, so Blooming are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Blooming and 0.8 for The Strongest (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blooming are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.20 for The Strongest.

Blooming vs The Strongest Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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