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NSI Runavik vs B36 Torshavn Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 18:00

NSI Runavik logo
NSI Runavik
PPG 3.00 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
B36 Torshavn logo
B36 Torshavn
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.0%0-25.8%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.6%1-112.4%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-18.5%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.0%3-13.9%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.3% 56.5% 1.77 -23.4%
Draw 23.8% 26.3% 3.80 -5.7%
Away win 32.9% 27.0% 3.70 +21.7%
Over 2.5 56.0% 60.6% 1.65 -7.6%
Over 3.5 36.7% 38.2% 2.62 -3.9%
BTTS 60.5% 62.5% 1.60 -3.2%
Home O1.5 41.6% 58.8% 1.70 -29.3%
Away O1.5 33.0% 37.0% 2.70 -10.9%

League track record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 35%
BTTS 35%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.5%

H 43% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%
#2 0–0 7.0%
#3 2–1 8.5%
#4 1–2 8.0%
#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik1.4
B36 Torshavn1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 3.00

B36 TORSHAVN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=43.3%

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 43.3%
ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -23.4%
Draw 23.8%
ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.7%
B36 Torshavn (A) 32.9%
ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face B36 Torshavn in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 43% chance, the draw 24% and B36 Torshavn 33%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for NSI Runavik and 1.3 for B36 Torshavn (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for B36 Torshavn. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.7%. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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