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PuiU Helsinki vs MYPA Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 14:00

PuiU Helsinki

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

MYPA

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.2%0-26.3%0-33.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.9%1-110.3%1-29.1%1-35.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.4%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.6%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 52.4% 1.91 -33.3%

Draw 23.0% 29.4% 3.40 -13.1%

Away win 42.2% 32.3% 3.10 +30.8%

Over 2.5 64.2% 73.5% 1.36 -12.7%

Over 3.5 41.5% 54.6% 1.83 -24.1%

BTTS 63.3% 73.5% 1.36 -13.9%

Home O1.5 41.8% 65.4% 1.53 -36.0%

Away O1.5 49.4% 50.0% 2.00 -1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 30.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PuiU Helsinki1.4

MYPA1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PUIU HELSINKI · PPG 1.00

MYPA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

PuiU Helsinki (H) 34.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -33.3%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.1%

MYPA (A) 42.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +30.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

PuiU Helsinki face MYPA in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PuiU Helsinki a 35% chance, the draw 23% and MYPA 42%, so MYPA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for PuiU Helsinki and 1.8 for MYPA (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PuiU Helsinki are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for MYPA. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.8%. This match finished 1-1.

PuiU Helsinki vs MYPA Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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