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07 Vestur vs Vikingur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 14:00

07 Vestur

PPG 0.60 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Vikingur

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-120.6%0-215.3%0-37.6%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.8%1-110.1%1-27.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-01.7%2-12.5%2-21.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.3%3-10.4%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% 13.3% 7.50 +1.2%

Draw 25.5% 23.8% 4.20 +4.3%

Away win 60.9% 73.5% 1.36 -17.2%

Over 2.5 47.1% 58.8% 1.70 -19.9%

Over 3.5 28.1% 37.0% 2.70 -14.5%

BTTS 47.6% 54.1% 1.85 -11.9%

Home O1.5 20.0% 22.2% 4.50 -6.0%

Away O1.5 49.4% 67.6% 1.48 -26.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob47.6%

A 61% / xG 0.5-1.5 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 20.6%

#2 0–0 13.9%

#3 0–2 15.3%

#4 1–1 10.1%

#5 0–3 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur0.5

Vikingur1.5

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.60

VIKINGUR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.60) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 13.6%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +1.2%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +4.3%

Vikingur (A) 60.9%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -17.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face Vikingur in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 14% chance, the draw 26% and Vikingur 61%, so Vikingur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for 07 Vestur and 1.5 for Vikingur (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Vikingur. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 2-3.

07 Vestur vs Vikingur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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