Nizhny Novgorod PPG 1.17
Dinamo Moscow PPG 1.50Nizhny Novgorod face Dinamo Moscow in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nizhny Novgorod a 28% chance, the draw 24% and Dinamo Moscow 49%, so Dinamo Moscow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.7 for Dinamo Moscow (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nizhny Novgorod are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.50 for Dinamo Moscow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.3%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 48 resolved predictions
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.50)