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PPJ vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Thursday, June 11, 2026, 16:00

PPJ

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Atlantis

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.7%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.8%1-17.1%1-24.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.5%2-19.1%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.5%3-17.8%3-24.7%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-19.4%4+-25.7%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% 50.0% 2.00 +12.2%

Draw 20.8% 26.7% 3.75 -13.2%

Away win 23.0% 35.7% 2.80 -21.4%

Over 2.5 65.8% 76.9% 1.30 -14.5%

Over 3.5 44.2% 57.8% 1.73 -23.5%

BTTS 63.7% 76.9% 1.30 -17.2%

Home O1.5 61.0% 66.7% 1.50 -8.5%

Away O1.5 33.0% 55.6% 1.80 -40.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.7%

H 56% / xG 2.6-1.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.1%

#3 3–1 7.8%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PPJ2.6

Atlantis1.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PPJ · PPG 1.50

ATLANTIS · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

PPJ (H) 56.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +12.2%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -13.2%

Atlantis (A) 23.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -21.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

PPJ face Atlantis in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PPJ a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Atlantis 23%, so PPJ are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for PPJ and 1.2 for Atlantis (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PPJ are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Atlantis. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +26.8%. This match finished 3-3.

PPJ vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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