Today / Incheon W vs Hwacheon W

Incheon W vs Hwacheon W Prediction

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Incheon W
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Hwacheon W
PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-119.9%0-211.3%0-34.3%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.0%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-03.2%2-13.6%2-22.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.6%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 19.2%
Draw 30.8%
Away win 50.0%
Over 2.5 37.8%
Over 3.5 18.9%
BTTS 47.6%
Home O1.5 33.0%
Away O1.5 32.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.6%

A 50% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%
#2 0–1 19.9%
#3 1–1 12.0%
#4 0–2 11.3%
#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Incheon W0.6
Hwacheon W1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

INCHEON W · PPG 1.50

HWACHEON W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Incheon W (H) 19.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hwacheon W (A) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Incheon W face Hwacheon W on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Incheon W a 19% chance, the draw 31% and Hwacheon W 50%, so Hwacheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Incheon W and 1.1 for Hwacheon W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Incheon W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.25 for Hwacheon W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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