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C. Olympic vs Gungahlin Juven Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Regular Season - 12 ·Wednesday, June 10, 2026, 09:30

C. Olympic

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Gungahlin Juven

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 82.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.9% — a clear edge.

+26.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.7%0-21.2%0-31.6%0-4+3.9%1 1-00.5%1-11.7%1-23.2%1-34.0%1-4+10.1%2 2-00.6%2-12.2%2-24.2%2-35.2%2-4+13.0%3 3-00.5%3-11.9%3-23.6%3-34.5%3-4+11.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-12.3%4+-24.3%4+-35.4%4+-4+13.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% 46.5% 2.15 -24.8%

Draw 17.8% 25.0% 4.00 -17.3%

Away win 55.0% 41.7% 2.40 +32.0%

Over 2.5 81.2% 82.0% 1.22 -0.9%

Over 3.5 71.0% 65.8% 1.52 +7.9%

BTTS 68.0% 84.7% 1.18 -19.8%

Home O1.5 61.0% 70.9% 1.41 -14.0%

Away O1.5 82.4% 64.9% 1.54 +26.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.9%

Bet Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)3.8 BTTS prob68.0%

A 55% / xG 2.6-3.8 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3✓ 5.2%

#2 2–4 4.9%

#3 3–3 4.5%

#4 3–4 4.2%

#5 2–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Olympic2.6

Gungahlin Juven3.8

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

C. OLYMPIC · PPG 1.33

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

C. Olympic (H) 27.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.8%

Draw 17.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -17.3%

Gungahlin Juven (A) 55.0%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +32.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Olympic face Gungahlin Juven in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Olympic a 27% chance, the draw 18% and Gungahlin Juven 55%, so Gungahlin Juven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for C. Olympic and 3.8 for Gungahlin Juven (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Olympic are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Gungahlin Juven. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +76.6%. This match finished 2-3.

C. Olympic vs Gungahlin Juven Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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