Today / C. Croatia vs Queanbeyan City

C. Croatia vs Queanbeyan City Prediction

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

C. Croatia

PPG 3.00 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Queanbeyan City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.2%0-23.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.3%1-19.6%1-27.3%1-33.7%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.9%4+-23.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 30.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 59.1% — — —

Away O1.5 49.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.7%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Croatia1.9

Queanbeyan City1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

C. CROATIA · PPG 3.00

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=46.4%

Win probability 1X2

C. Croatia (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Queanbeyan City (A) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Croatia face Queanbeyan City on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Croatia a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Queanbeyan City 31%, so C. Croatia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for C. Croatia and 1.5 for Queanbeyan City (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Croatia are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Queanbeyan City. This match finished 4-2.

C. Croatia vs Queanbeyan City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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