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Zilina vs S. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 16:00

Zilina

PPG 2.08 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

S. Bratislava

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 70.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.3%0-23.5%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.3%1-18.7%1-27.0%1-33.8%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.6%3-15.8%3-24.7%3-32.5%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.6%4+-23.7%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 36.2% 2.76 +29.2%

Draw 21.5% 28.2% 3.55 -23.7%

Away win 31.7% 44.6% 2.24 -29.0%

Over 2.5 70.2% 65.4% 1.53 +7.4%

Over 3.5 49.0% 43.5% 2.30 +12.7%

BTTS 69.4% 70.4% 1.42 -1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.4%

H 47% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina2.0

S. Bratislava1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA · PPG 2.08

S. BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.15

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.08), Away EXCELLENT (2.15)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina (H) 46.8%

ODDS 2.76 · IMPLIED 36.2% EV +29.2%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -23.7%

S. Bratislava (A) 31.7%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV -29.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina face S. Bratislava in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina a 47% chance, the draw 22% and S. Bratislava 32%, so Zilina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Zilina and 1.6 for S. Bratislava (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 2.15 for S. Bratislava. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Zilina vs S. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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