Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Rosenborg II vs Byåsen

Rosenborg II vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

Rosenborg II

PPG 2.12 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Byåsen

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-12.6%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.6%1-16.9%1-24.2%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.3%2-19.0%2-25.5%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.4%3-17.8%3-24.8%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-19.6%4+-25.9%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.7% 54.6% 1.83 +9.3%

Draw 19.0% 23.8% 4.20 -12.1%

Away win 21.3% 34.5% 2.90 -22.9%

Over 2.5 68.4% 75.2% 1.33 -9.0%

Over 3.5 45.0% 63.3% 1.58 -28.9%

BTTS 62.6% 82.0% 1.22 -23.6%

Home O1.5 66.3% 73.5% 1.36 -9.8%

Away O1.5 36.8% 57.1% 1.75 -35.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.6%

H 60% / xG 2.6-1.2 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 3–1 7.8%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 1–2✓ 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg II2.6

Byåsen1.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG II · PPG 2.12

BYÅSEN · PPG 1.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg II (H) 59.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +9.3%

Draw 19.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -12.1%

Byåsen (A) 21.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg II face Byåsen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg II a 60% chance, the draw 19% and Byåsen 21%, so Rosenborg II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Rosenborg II and 1.2 for Byåsen (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg II are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.12 for Byåsen. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Rosenborg II vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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