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Byåsen vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Byåsen

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDDW

UPCOMING

Strindheim

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 71% chance

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.5%0-24.4%0-32.8%0-4+2.1%1 1-04.3%1-18.2%1-28.0%1-35.1%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.4%3-14.6%3-24.4%3-32.8%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.1%4+-23.0%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 38.5% 2.60 -8.7%

Draw 21.0% 24.4% 4.10 -8.3%

Away win 43.9% 48.8% 2.05 -10.0%

Over 2.5 65.0% 73.5% 1.36 -11.6%

Over 3.5 44.9% 53.5% 1.87 -16.0%

BTTS 62.4% 76.3% 1.31 -18.3%

Home O1.5 51.9% 54.6% 1.83 -5.0%

Away O1.5 58.3% 63.7% 1.57 -8.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.4%

A 44% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Byåsen1.8

Strindheim1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BYÅSEN · PPG 1.62

STRINDHEIM · PPG 1.67

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

71%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Byåsen (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -8.7%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -8.3%

Strindheim (A) 43.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Byåsen face Strindheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Byåsen a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Strindheim 44%, so Strindheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Byåsen and 1.9 for Strindheim (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Byåsen are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.67 for Strindheim.

Byåsen vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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