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Vittsjo W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Vittsjo W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hammarby W

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

Away 75% chance

Model probability 58.2% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-124.1%0-216.7%0-37.7%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.3%1-18.8%1-26.1%1-32.8%1-4+1.3%2 2-01.2%2-11.6%2-21.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 10.4% 9.60 +19.5%

Draw 28.1% 19.6% 5.10 +26.0%

Away win 58.2% 82.0% 1.22 -29.0%

Over 2.5 33.9% 69.4% 1.44 -51.2%

Over 3.5 18.6% 48.8% 2.05 -37.1%

BTTS 41.8% 54.1% 1.85 -22.7%

Home O1.5 5.2% 22.2% 4.50 -46.0%

Away O1.5 40.4% 76.9% 1.30 -47.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -24.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob41.8%

A 58% / xG 0.4-1.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 24.1%

#2 0–0 17.4%

#3 0–2 16.7%

#4 1–1 8.8%

#5 0–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vittsjo W0.4

Hammarby W1.4

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VITTSJO W · PPG 2.00

HAMMARBY W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

75%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Vittsjo W (H) 13.8%

ODDS 9.60 · IMPLIED 10.4% EV +19.5%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +26.0%

Hammarby W (A) 58.2%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -29.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vittsjo W face Hammarby W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vittsjo W a 14% chance, the draw 28% and Hammarby W 58%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Vittsjo W and 1.4 for Hammarby W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vittsjo W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Hammarby W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +26.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Vittsjo W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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