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Vittsjö W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Vittsjö W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDL

UPCOMING

Uppsala W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home 90% chance

Model probability 74.8% vs bookmaker-implied 96.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.5%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.9%1-16.6%1-22.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.9%2-18.6%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.2%3-17.4%3-22.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-19.1%4+-23.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.8% 96.2% 1.04 -22.2%

Draw 16.9% 8.3% 12.00 +61.7%

Away win 8.3% 1.6% 61.00 +243.8%

Over 2.5 65.0% 73.5% 1.36 -11.6%

Over 3.5 44.8% 54.6% 1.83 -18.0%

BTTS 52.9% 38.5% 2.60 +37.5%

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 18.8% 9.3% 10.75 +61.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -18.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.9%

H 75% / xG 2.6-0.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.9%

#2 3–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 1–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vittsjö W2.6

Uppsala W0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VITTSJÖ W · PPG 1.50

UPPSALA W · PPG 0.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

Chance this pick lands

90%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.94 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vittsjö W (H) 74.8%

ODDS 1.04 · IMPLIED 96.2% EV -22.2%

Draw 16.9%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +61.7%

Uppsala W (A) 8.3%

ODDS 61.00 · IMPLIED 1.6% EV +243.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vittsjö W face Uppsala W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vittsjö W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Uppsala W 8%, so Vittsjö W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Vittsjö W and 0.7 for Uppsala W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vittsjö W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Uppsala W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +128.2%.

Vittsjö W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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