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Kristianstads W vs Hacken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Kristianstads W

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDW

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hacken W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.8%0-25.4%0-33.4%0-4+2.5%1 1-04.9%1-19.2%1-28.7%1-35.5%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.4%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.1%3-14.0%3-23.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 20.0% 5.00 +77.0%

Draw 22.3% 24.4% 4.10 -5.1%

Away win 42.3% 67.6% 1.48 -37.4%

Over 2.5 64.3% 66.7% 1.50 -3.5%

Over 3.5 43.1% 40.0% 2.50 +7.8%

BTTS 63.4% 59.9% 1.67 +5.9%

Home O1.5 47.6% 28.6% 3.50 +66.6%

Away O1.5 56.1% 65.4% 1.53 -14.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -24.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kristianstads W1.6

Hacken W1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KRISTIANSTADS W · PPG 1.75

HACKEN W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

Chance this pick lands

66%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kristianstads W (H) 35.4%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +77.0%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.1%

Hacken W (A) 42.3%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -37.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristianstads W face Hacken W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristianstads W a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Hacken W 42%, so Hacken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kristianstads W and 1.9 for Hacken W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristianstads W are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Hacken W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +77.0%. This match finished 0-3.

Kristianstads W vs Hacken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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