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Rosengard W vs Brommapojk. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Rosengard W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brommapojk. W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.2%0-23.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.3%1-110.0%1-26.0%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.8%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.3%3-16.3%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-14.8%4+-22.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 58.8% 1.70 -8.7%

Draw 22.6% 27.0% 3.70 -9.8%

Away win 23.6% 26.3% 3.80 -6.2%

Over 2.5 64.1% 65.4% 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 39.5% 44.4% 2.25 -11.1%

BTTS 61.0% 69.4% 1.44 -12.2%

Home O1.5 58.0% 63.7% 1.57 -8.9%

Away O1.5 33.9% 36.4% 2.75 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 21.8%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 54% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengard W1.9

Brommapojk. W1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGARD W · PPG 0.33

BROMMAPOJK. W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Rosengard W (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -8.7%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.8%

Brommapojk. W (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengard W face Brommapojk. W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengard W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Brommapojk. W 24%, so Rosengard W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rosengard W and 1.2 for Brommapojk. W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengard W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Brommapojk. W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Rosengard W vs Brommapojk. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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