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Kuchl vs Lustenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Kuchl

PPG 2.14 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Lustenau

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.0%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.8%1-15.8%1-23.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.9%2-18.4%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-18.1%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-111.8%4+-27.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 70.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.4%

H 61% / xG 2.9-1.2 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 3–1✓ 8.1%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 1–1 5.8%

#5 3–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuchl2.9

Lustenau1.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KUCHL · PPG 2.14

LUSTENAU · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Win probability 1X2

Kuchl (H) 60.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lustenau (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuchl face Lustenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuchl a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Lustenau 20%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Kuchl and 1.2 for Lustenau (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuchl are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.93 for Lustenau. This match finished 3-1.

Kuchl vs Lustenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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