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Norrkoping W vs Pitea W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 8 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Norrkoping W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Pitea W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-113.9%0-26.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.0%2-16.6%2-23.1%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.1%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 46.5% 2.15 -17.4%

Draw 31.0% 30.3% 3.30 +2.3%

Away win 30.7% 34.5% 2.90 -11.0%

Over 2.5 43.2% 52.6% 1.90 -17.9%

Over 3.5 22.5% 30.8% 3.25 -16.1%

BTTS 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Home O1.5 25.5% 47.6% 2.10 -27.9%

Away O1.5 24.2% 38.2% 2.62 -22.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -24.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.7%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 0–1 13.9%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrkoping W1.0

Pitea W0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKOPING W · PPG 1.33

PITEA W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Norrkoping W (H) 38.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -17.4%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +2.3%

Pitea W (A) 30.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrkoping W face Pitea W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrkoping W a 38% chance, the draw 31% and Pitea W 31%, so Norrkoping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Norrkoping W and 0.9 for Pitea W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrkoping W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Pitea W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Norrkoping W vs Pitea W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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