Today / Sweden - Damallsvenskan / Djurgarden W vs Eskilstuna U. W

Djurgarden W vs Eskilstuna U. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Djurgarden W logo
Djurgarden W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Eskilstuna U. W logo
Eskilstuna U. W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.5%0-116.9%0-28.6%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.9%1-113.1%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.0%2-15.1%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.9% 62.5% 1.60 -31.3%
Draw 34.4% 26.7% 3.75 +29.0%
Away win 35.8% 22.2% 4.50 +61.1%
Over 2.5 33.6% 58.8% 1.70 -42.9%
Over 3.5 18.6% 38.2% 2.62 -30.8%
BTTS 45.5% 57.8% 1.73 -21.3%
Home O1.5 18.3% 57.8% 1.73 -41.0%
Away O1.5 27.2% 30.8% 3.25 -7.0%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 21.8%
Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.5%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.5%
#2 1–1 13.1%
#3 0–1 16.9%
#4 1–0 12.9%
#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djurgarden W0.8
Eskilstuna U. W1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DJURGARDEN W · PPG 1.33

ESKILSTUNA U. W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Djurgarden W (H) 29.9%
ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -31.3%
Draw 34.4%
ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +29.0%
Eskilstuna U. W (A) 35.8%
ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +61.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Djurgarden W face Eskilstuna U. W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djurgarden W a 30% chance, the draw 34% and Eskilstuna U. W 36%, so Eskilstuna U. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Djurgarden W and 1.0 for Eskilstuna U. W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djurgarden W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Eskilstuna U. W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +61.1%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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