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Schwaz vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Schwaz

PPG 1.57 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Lauterach

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=55.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.9%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.9%1-15.5%1-23.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.6%2-17.9%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.5%3-17.7%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-111.5%4+-28.1%4+-33.8%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.7% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 56% / xG 2.9-1.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 2–0 5.6%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schwaz2.9

Lauterach1.4

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWAZ · PPG 1.57

LAUTERACH · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=55.9%

Win probability 1X2

Schwaz (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lauterach (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schwaz face Lauterach in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schwaz a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Lauterach 23%, so Schwaz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Schwaz and 1.4 for Lauterach (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schwaz are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.50 for Lauterach. This match finished 3-0.

Schwaz vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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