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Slovacko U19 vs Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:00

Slovacko U19 logo
Slovacko U19
PPG 1.85 · HOME
3 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Ostrava U19 logo
Ostrava U19
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.2%0-25.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.3%1-110.2%1-28.3%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.3%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.8%3-14.6%3-23.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.7%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.8% 44.4% 2.25 -8.2%
Draw 23.0% 27.4% 3.65 -9.6%
Away win 36.2% 40.0% 2.50 -9.5%
Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 39.9% 48.8% 2.05 -18.2%
BTTS 61.9% 71.4% 1.40 -13.3%
Home O1.5 48.8% 54.1% 1.85 -9.7%
Away O1.5 48.4% 53.2% 1.88 -9.0%

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-3
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.9%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 8.3%
#3 1–2 8.3%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–0 3.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovacko U191.6
Ostrava U191.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVACKO U19 · PPG 1.85

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Slovacko U19 (H) 40.8%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -8.2%
Draw 23.0%
ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -9.6%
Ostrava U19 (A) 36.2%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovacko U19 face Ostrava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovacko U19 a 41% chance, the draw 23% and Ostrava U19 36%, so Slovacko U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Slovacko U19 and 1.6 for Ostrava U19 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovacko U19 are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.38 for Ostrava U19. This match finished 3-3.

PredictVantage

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