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TSV St. Johann vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:30

TSV St. Johann

PPG 1.14 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.2%0-24.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.0%1-19.0%1-28.2%1-34.9%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.5%3-14.6%3-24.1%3-32.5%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 40.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 52.1% — — —

Away O1.5 54.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.4%

A 40% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TSV St. Johann1.7

Wals-Grunau1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TSV ST. JOHANN · PPG 1.14

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

TSV St. Johann (H) 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wals-Grunau (A) 40.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TSV St. Johann face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV St. Johann a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Wals-Grunau 40%, so Wals-Grunau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for TSV St. Johann and 1.8 for Wals-Grunau (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV St. Johann are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.36 for Wals-Grunau. This match finished 6-1.

TSV St. Johann vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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