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Kufstein vs Kitzbuhel Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

Kufstein

PPG 0.86 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kitzbuhel

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-113.3%0-28.9%0-34.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.6%1-112.9%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.7%2-16.2%2-24.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.5%3-12.0%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 43.4% — — —

Over 2.5 48.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 25.2% — — —

Away O1.5 38.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.2%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kufstein1.0

Kitzbuhel1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KUFSTEIN · PPG 0.86

KITZBUHEL · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Kufstein (H) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kitzbuhel (A) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kufstein face Kitzbuhel in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kufstein a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Kitzbuhel 43%, so Kitzbuhel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kufstein and 1.3 for Kitzbuhel (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kufstein are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.14 for Kitzbuhel. This match finished 3-1.

Kufstein vs Kitzbuhel Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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