Today / Gyori ETO W vs MTK Hungaria W

Gyori ETO W vs MTK Hungaria W Prediction

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Gyori ETO W
PPG 2.09 · HOME
9 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
MTK Hungaria W
PPG 2.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.1%0-23.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.6%1-18.6%1-26.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.1%3-16.2%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.3%4+-24.1%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.2%
Draw 23.8%
Away win 25.0%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 48.9%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5 61.9%
Away O1.5 45.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 9-0
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 2–2 6.8%
#4 1–2 6.5%
#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO W2.1
MTK Hungaria W1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.09

MTK HUNGARIA W · PPG 2.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.09), Away EXCELLENT (2.09)

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO W (H) 51.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
MTK Hungaria W (A) 25.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO W face MTK Hungaria W on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO W a 51% chance, the draw 24% and MTK Hungaria W 25%, so Gyori ETO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Gyori ETO W and 1.5 for MTK Hungaria W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO W are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 2.09 for MTK Hungaria W. This match finished 9-0.

PredictVantage

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