Today / Sejong W vs Gyeongju W

Sejong W vs Gyeongju W Prediction

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Sejong W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Gyeongju W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-15.6%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.2%1-19.4%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-016.1%2-17.9%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.0%3-14.4%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-12.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 15.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.4% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 49.9% — — —

Away O1.5 8.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.2%

H 59% / xG 1.7-0.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.2%

#2 2–0 16.1%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 1–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sejong W1.7

Gyeongju W0.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SEJONG W · PPG 0.75

GYEONGJU W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Sejong W (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyeongju W (A) 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sejong W face Gyeongju W on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sejong W a 59% chance, the draw 25% and Gyeongju W 15%, so Sejong W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sejong W and 0.5 for Gyeongju W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sejong W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.33 for Gyeongju W. This match finished 2-4.

Sejong W vs Gyeongju W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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