Today / Stallion vs DH Cebu

Stallion vs DH Cebu Prediction

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Stallion
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
DH Cebu
PPG 2.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.6%0-22.9%0-32.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-02.5%1-15.7%1-26.4%1-34.8%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.1%2-35.3%2-4+5.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.7%3-25.3%3-34.0%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-14.4%4+-25.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+3.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 41.1%
Draw 22.3%
Away win 36.5%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 65.4%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5 65.3%
Away O1.5 65.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob66.7%

A 36% / xG 2.2-2.2 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%
#2 1–1 5.7%
#3 1–2 6.4%
#4 2–1 6.3%
#5 2–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stallion2.2
DH Cebu2.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.4%

Form & verdict PPG

STALLION · PPG 1.50

DH CEBU · PPG 2.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.09) strong but model favors Home (P=41.1%)

Win probability 1X2

Stallion (H) 41.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
DH Cebu (A) 36.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stallion face DH Cebu on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stallion a 41% chance, the draw 22% and DH Cebu 37%, so Stallion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Stallion and 2.3 for DH Cebu (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stallion are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.09 for DH Cebu. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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