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Streymur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 11 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 14:00

Streymur

PPG 0.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

NSI Runavik

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-112.5%0-211.9%0-37.6%0-4+5.5%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.7%1-36.2%1-4+4.5%2 2-02.2%2-14.2%2-24.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.1%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% 9.1% 11.00 +33.7%

Draw 24.3% 16.7% 6.00 +27.5%

Away win 61.5% 84.7% 1.18 -27.4%

Over 2.5 52.6% 76.9% 1.30 -31.6%

Over 3.5 29.1% 56.5% 1.77 -29.1%

BTTS 51.6% 59.9% 1.67 -13.8%

Home O1.5 19.8% 25.3% 3.95 -13.1%

Away O1.5 56.7% 84.7% 1.18 -33.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob51.6%

A 62% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.9%

#2 1–1 10.2%

#3 0–1✓ 12.5%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Streymur0.8

NSI Runavik1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STREYMUR · PPG 0.40

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Streymur (H) 14.2%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +33.7%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +27.5%

NSI Runavik (A) 61.5%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV -27.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Streymur face NSI Runavik in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Streymur a 14% chance, the draw 24% and NSI Runavik 62%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Streymur and 1.9 for NSI Runavik (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Streymur are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.60 for NSI Runavik. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Streymur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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