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Sokol Kleczew vs Sandecja Nowy Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Sokol Kleczew

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sandecja Nowy

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-110.0%0-27.8%0-34.1%0-4+2.3%1 1-07.6%1-111.8%1-29.3%1-34.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.5%2-17.0%2-25.5%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.8%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 20.8% 4.80 +47.8%

Draw 26.3% 28.2% 3.55 -4.0%

Away win 42.9% 63.7% 1.57 -32.6%

Over 2.5 52.6% 54.1% 1.85 -2.7%

Over 3.5 29.8% 30.8% 3.25 -1.9%

BTTS 54.6% 52.4% 1.91 +4.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 0–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokol Kleczew1.2

Sandecja Nowy1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKOL KLECZEW · PPG 1.25

SANDECJA NOWY · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Sokol Kleczew (H) 30.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +47.8%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.0%

Sandecja Nowy (A) 42.9%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -32.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Kleczew face Sandecja Nowy in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Kleczew a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Sandecja Nowy 43%, so Sandecja Nowy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sokol Kleczew and 1.6 for Sandecja Nowy (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Kleczew are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.69 for Sandecja Nowy. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +47.8%. This match finished 2-5.

Sokol Kleczew vs Sandecja Nowy Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions