Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / M. Boleslav U19 vs Brno U19

M. Boleslav U19 vs Brno U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:15

M. Boleslav U19

PPG 1.77 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Brno U19

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.5%0-23.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.1%1-110.1%1-27.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.0%3-15.7%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.9%4+-22.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% 50.0% 2.00 -1.8%

Draw 24.6% 27.8% 3.60 -6.9%

Away win 26.3% 34.5% 2.90 -14.2%

Over 2.5 61.4% 69.0% 1.45 -11.0%

Over 3.5 40.9% 46.5% 2.15 -12.1%

BTTS 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

M. Boleslav U191.8

Brno U191.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.77

BRNO U19 · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

M. Boleslav U19 (H) 49.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -1.8%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.9%

Brno U19 (A) 26.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

M. Boleslav U19 face Brno U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives M. Boleslav U19 a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Brno U19 26%, so M. Boleslav U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for M. Boleslav U19 and 1.4 for Brno U19 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, M. Boleslav U19 are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.31 for Brno U19. This match finished 0-2.

M. Boleslav U19 vs Brno U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 Predictions