Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.25 -1.3%
Over 3.5 73.7% Odds: 1.65 +21.6%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.36 -9.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 4-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -1.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=59.3%