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H. Kralove U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 09:00

H. Kralove U19

PPG 2.23 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slavia P. U19

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 79.0% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.2%0-21.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.2%1-13.8%1-23.4%1-32.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.5%2-16.2%2-25.5%2-33.2%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.8%3-16.7%3-25.9%3-33.5%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-112.3%4+-210.9%4+-36.4%4+-4+4.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% 67.6% 1.48 -12.2%

Draw 20.3% 23.1% 4.33 -7.3%

Away win 20.4% 21.7% 4.60 -3.7%

Over 2.5 79.0% 80.0% 1.25 -1.3%

Over 3.5 73.7% 60.6% 1.65 +21.6%

BTTS 66.7% 73.5% 1.36 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.7%

H 59% / xG 3.2-1.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.7%

#2 2–1 6.2%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 2–2 5.5%

#5 4–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H. Kralove U193.2

Slavia P. U191.8

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 73.7%

Form & verdict PPG

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 2.23

SLAVIA P. U19 · PPG 1.15

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=59.3%

Win probability 1X2

H. Kralove U19 (H) 59.3%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -12.2%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -7.3%

Slavia P. U19 (A) 20.4%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

H. Kralove U19 face Slavia P. U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H. Kralove U19 a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Slavia P. U19 20%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for H. Kralove U19 and 1.8 for Slavia P. U19 (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H. Kralove U19 are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.15 for Slavia P. U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +21.6%. This match finished 3-0.

H. Kralove U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 Predictions