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Australia - Capital Territory NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Capital Territory NPL Regular Season - 10 Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex Saturday, May 23, 2026 08:00
Tigers FC logo Tigers FC PPG 2.50
7-0 MISS
Brindabella Blu logo Brindabella Blu PPG 0.75
Draw· +43.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.0%
Odds: 1.10 EV: -19.7%
Draw 19.2%
Odds: 9.00 EV: +43.7%
Away 7.8%
Odds: 15.00 EV: +10.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.22 -3.6%
Over 3.5 77.7% Odds: 1.27 -1.3%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0
2nd 4-1
3rd 3-0
4th 3-1
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tigers FC
4.35
Brindabella Blu
0.97

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+43.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 89%
O2.5/Under 89%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

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