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Wals-Grunau vs Kufstein Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.23 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kufstein

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.1%0-23.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.6%1-110.0%1-25.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.5%3-16.4%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.9%4+-22.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 38.2% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wals-Grunau2.0

Kufstein1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.23

KUFSTEIN · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.54)

Win probability 1X2

Wals-Grunau (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kufstein (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wals-Grunau face Kufstein in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wals-Grunau a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Kufstein 24%, so Wals-Grunau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wals-Grunau and 1.2 for Kufstein (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wals-Grunau are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.54 for Kufstein. This match finished 4-1.

Wals-Grunau vs Kufstein Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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