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Kitzbuhel vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Kitzbuhel

PPG 1.54 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hohenems

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-18.8%0-25.9%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.1%1-112.2%1-28.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-18.4%2-25.6%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.9%3-13.9%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 37% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1✓ 8.4%

#3 0–0 6.5%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kitzbuhel1.4

Hohenems1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KITZBUHEL · PPG 1.54

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Kitzbuhel (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hohenems (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kitzbuhel face Hohenems in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kitzbuhel a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Hohenems 37%, so Hohenems are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kitzbuhel and 1.3 for Hohenems (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kitzbuhel are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.33 for Hohenems. This match finished 2-1.

Kitzbuhel vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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