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Reichenau vs Seekirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 16:30

Reichenau logo
Reichenau
PPG 1.69 · HOME
4 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Seekirchen logo
Seekirchen
PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.8%0-26.5%0-34.9%0-4+4.7%1 1-03.6%1-18.2%1-29.2%1-36.9%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.6%2-15.8%2-26.5%2-34.8%2-4+4.6%3 3-01.2%3-12.7%3-23.0%3-32.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 26.4%
Draw 22.5%
Away win 51.2%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 49.6%
BTTS 61.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-3
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.8%

A 51% / xG 1.4-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%
#2 1–2 9.2%
#3 1–3 6.9%
#4 0–2 6.5%
#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reichenau1.4
Seekirchen2.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

REICHENAU · PPG 1.69

SEEKIRCHEN · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Reichenau (H) 26.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Seekirchen (A) 51.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reichenau face Seekirchen in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reichenau a 26% chance, the draw 23% and Seekirchen 51%, so Seekirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Reichenau and 2.2 for Seekirchen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reichenau are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.77 for Seekirchen. This match finished 4-3.

PredictVantage

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