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HB Torshavn vs Streymur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 10 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 17:30

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.25 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Streymur

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.1%0-24.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.7%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 82.0% 1.22 -41.1%

Draw 27.2% 19.6% 5.10 +23.2%

Away win 24.5% 9.1% 11.00 +101.7%

Over 2.5 46.9% 69.0% 1.45 -32.0%

Over 3.5 21.1% 47.6% 2.10 -33.4%

BTTS 51.6% 54.6% 1.83 -5.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 48% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn1.4

Streymur1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.25

STREYMUR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 48.3%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -41.1%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +23.2%

Streymur (A) 24.5%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +101.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face Streymur in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Streymur 25%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for HB Torshavn and 1.0 for Streymur (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Streymur. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +101.7%. This match finished 3-4.

HB Torshavn vs Streymur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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