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Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 32 Stadion Miejski· Kalisz Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:30
Kalisz logo Kalisz PPG 0.93
0-2 HIT CS4
Warta Poznan logo Warta Poznan PPG 1.80
Home· +0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.7%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +0.9%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -8.3%
Away 46.3%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -15.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 3.00 -11.2%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Kalisz
1.00
Warta Poznan
1.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.93)

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