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07 Vestur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 16:15

07 Vestur

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

NSI Runavik

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-117.0%0-214.0%0-37.7%0-4+4.5%1 1-06.5%1-110.6%1-28.7%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-02.0%2-13.3%2-22.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% 12.2% 8.20 +8.9%

Draw 25.4% 20.8% 4.80 +13.2%

Away win 60.6% 76.9% 1.30 -21.2%

Over 2.5 46.2% 71.4% 1.40 -35.3%

Over 3.5 19.4% 51.3% 1.95 -37.3%

BTTS 48.6% 62.5% 1.60 -22.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-6

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob48.6%

A 61% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.0%

#2 0–2 14.0%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur0.6

NSI Runavik1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.75

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 14.0%

ODDS 8.20 · IMPLIED 12.2% EV +8.9%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +13.2%

NSI Runavik (A) 60.6%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -21.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face NSI Runavik in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 14% chance, the draw 25% and NSI Runavik 61%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for 07 Vestur and 1.6 for NSI Runavik (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.25 for NSI Runavik. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-6.

07 Vestur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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