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Swit Skolwin vs Slask Wroclaw B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:15

Swit Skolwin

PPG 1.60 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slask Wroclaw B

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-16.2%0-25.9%0-33.8%0-4+2.8%1 1-05.0%1-19.5%1-29.0%1-35.7%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.8%2-17.2%2-26.8%2-34.3%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.9%3-13.6%3-23.4%3-32.2%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.9%4+-21.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.0% 43.5% 2.30 -21.8%

Draw 24.1% 28.6% 3.50 -9.4%

Away win 41.8% 39.2% 2.55 +6.6%

Over 2.5 63.9% 58.8% 1.70 +8.6%

Over 3.5 44.6% 38.2% 2.62 +16.9%

BTTS 59.7% 61.7% 1.62 -3.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Swit Skolwin1.5

Slask Wroclaw B1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SWIT SKOLWIN · PPG 1.60

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Swit Skolwin (H) 34.0%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -21.8%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.4%

Slask Wroclaw B (A) 41.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +6.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Swit Skolwin face Slask Wroclaw B in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Swit Skolwin a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Slask Wroclaw B 42%, so Slask Wroclaw B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Swit Skolwin and 1.9 for Slask Wroclaw B (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Swit Skolwin are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Slask Wroclaw B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.9%. This match finished 4-3.

Swit Skolwin vs Slask Wroclaw B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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