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Hutnik Krakow vs NKP Podhale Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 1.73 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

NKP Podhale

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-111.0%0-25.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.7%1-113.3%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.7%2-18.0%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.1%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.3% 41.7% 2.40 -0.9%

Draw 30.7% 34.7% 2.88 -11.6%

Away win 28.0% 37.0% 2.70 -14.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Over 3.5 19.1% 28.6% 3.50 -19.9%

BTTS 51.6% 57.1% 1.75 -9.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 41% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 1–0✓ 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hutnik Krakow1.2

NKP Podhale1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 1.73

NKP PODHALE · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Hutnik Krakow (H) 41.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -0.9%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.6%

NKP Podhale (A) 28.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hutnik Krakow face NKP Podhale in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hutnik Krakow a 41% chance, the draw 31% and NKP Podhale 28%, so Hutnik Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hutnik Krakow and 1.0 for NKP Podhale (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hutnik Krakow are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.20 for NKP Podhale. This match finished 1-0.

Hutnik Krakow vs NKP Podhale Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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