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Ruzomberok vs Komarno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:30

Ruzomberok logo
Ruzomberok
PPG 1.00 · HOME
LAST 5
WLDWL
2 – 1
FULL TIME
Komarno logo
Komarno
PPG 1.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-112.7%0-26.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.3%1-113.5%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.1%2-17.2%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.5%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.2% 41.3% 2.42 -12.4%
Draw 30.2% 31.7% 3.15 -4.9%
Away win 33.7% 36.4% 2.75 -7.3%
Over 2.5 34.4% 50.0% 2.00 -31.2%
Over 3.5 15.7% 29.4% 3.40 -46.6%
BTTS 41.7% 58.8% 1.70 -29.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 35%
ROI 32.6%
Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob41.7%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%
#2 1–0 13.3%
#3 0–1 12.7%
#4 0–0 12.5%
#5 2–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ruzomberok1.1
Komarno1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RUZOMBEROK · PPG 1.00

KOMARNO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ruzomberok (H) 36.2%
ODDS 2.42 · IMPLIED 41.3% EV -12.4%
Draw 30.2%
ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -4.9%
Komarno (A) 33.7%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -7.3%

Season Statistics average per match · 18 matches · 2025

Ruzomberok ▾ lower is better Komarno

Attack

10.2
Shots
13.9
3.1
Shots on target
4.6
4.0
Shots off target
5.9
3.1
Blocked shots
3.4
7.3
Shots inside box
10.1
2.8
Shots outside box
3.8
30.6%
Shooting accuracy
32.8%
30.4%
Goals per shot on target
17.1%
0.94
Goals
0.78
1.14
xG for 17·17 of 18
1.61

Defence

14.9
Shots faced
12.5
5.6
Shots on target faced
4.2
1.78
Goals conceded
1.50
2.01
xG against 17·17 of 18
1.49
3.7
Goalkeeper saves
2.7

Control

42.7%
Possession
48.5%
311
Passes
353
215
Accurate passes
250
69.1%
Pass accuracy
70.6%
5.1
Corners
5.6
5.2
Corners faced
3.9
0.8
Offsides
1.5

Discipline

13.9
Fouls
14.6
1.9
Yellow cards
2.0
0.28
Red cards
0.06

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruzomberok face Komarno in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruzomberok a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Komarno 34%, so Ruzomberok are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ruzomberok and 1.0 for Komarno (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruzomberok are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Komarno. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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