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Delmenhorst vs Holthausen-Bien Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 29 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

Delmenhorst

PPG 1.79 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Holthausen-Bien

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.8%1-11.8%1-20.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.1%2-14.0%2-22.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.2%3-16.1%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-024.7%4+-124.5%4+-212.2%4+-34.0%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.7% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 80.3% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)4.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 75% / xG 4.5-1.0 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 7.0%

#2 4–1 6.9%

#3 5–0 6.4%

#4 5–1 6.3%

#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Delmenhorst4.5

Holthausen-Bien1.0

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 80.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DELMENHORST · PPG 1.79

HOLTHAUSEN-BIEN · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.79), Away POOR (0.29) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Delmenhorst (H) 74.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Holthausen-Bien (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Delmenhorst face Holthausen-Bien in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Delmenhorst a 75% chance, the draw 18% and Holthausen-Bien 8%, so Delmenhorst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.5 for Delmenhorst and 1.0 for Holthausen-Bien (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Delmenhorst are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.29 for Holthausen-Bien. This match finished 3-1.

Delmenhorst vs Holthausen-Bien Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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