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Podbrezova vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 6 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:30

Podbrezova

PPG 1.69 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

DAC Streda

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-16.9%0-26.2%0-33.6%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.7%1-110.2%1-29.0%1-35.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.5%2-26.6%2-33.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.1%3-13.7%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.9%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.0% 33.8% 2.96 -5.3%

Draw 23.0% 29.9% 3.35 -22.9%

Away win 45.0% 45.5% 2.20 -1.0%

Over 2.5 62.9% 57.1% 1.75 +10.1%

Over 3.5 40.7% 35.1% 2.85 +16.0%

BTTS 63.9% 63.7% 1.57 +0.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.9%

A 45% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2✓ 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–1 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podbrezova1.5

DAC Streda1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PODBREZOVA · PPG 1.69

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.83

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Podbrezova (H) 32.0%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -5.3%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -22.9%

DAC Streda (A) 45.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbrezova face DAC Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbrezova a 32% chance, the draw 23% and DAC Streda 45%, so DAC Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Podbrezova and 1.8 for DAC Streda (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbrezova are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.83 for DAC Streda. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Podbrezova vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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