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R. Altach B vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 29 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

R. Altach B

PPG 0.69 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Reichenau

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.4%0-25.7%0-33.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.6%1-110.0%1-28.8%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.7%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.3%3-14.0%3-23.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Altach B1.5

Reichenau1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

R. ALTACH B · PPG 0.69

REICHENAU · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.69) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

R. Altach B (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reichenau (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Altach B face Reichenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Altach B a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Reichenau 41%, so Reichenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for R. Altach B and 1.8 for Reichenau (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Altach B are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.00 for Reichenau. This match finished 1-0.

R. Altach B vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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