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Netherlands - Eredivisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 34 MAC³PARK Stadion· Zwolle Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:30
PEC Zwolle logo PEC Zwolle PPG 1.75
0-2 HIT CS3
Feyenoord logo Feyenoord PPG 1.63
Home· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +1.3%
Draw 23.0%
Odds: 4.30 EV: -0.7%
Away 50.8%
Odds: 1.72 EV: -12.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.38 -11.8%
Over 3.5 46.6% Odds: 1.95 -9.1%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.40 -16.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

PEC Zwolle
1.35
Feyenoord
2.16

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.63)

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