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Netherlands - Eredivisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 34 Goffertstadion· Nijmegen Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:30
NEC Nijmegen logo NEC Nijmegen PPG 1.81
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Go Ahead Eagles logo Go Ahead Eagles PPG 0.81
Away· +32.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%
Odds: 1.38 EV: -27.7%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +14.2%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +32.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%
Over 3.5 55.6% Odds: 1.83 +1.8%
BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.48 -6.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen
2.47
Go Ahead Eagles
1.48

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -16.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=52.4%

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